Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.0%
ใหม่
$23,793 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,793 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
36%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 36%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 13.0%
ใหม่
$23,793 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,793 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$506 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$629 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$1,749 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$4,132 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5,903 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$1,430 ปริมาณ
13%
19°C
$1,308 ปริมาณ
36%
20°C
$1,435 ปริมาณ
29%
21°C
$1,103 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$1,889 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C or higher
$3,765 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,793วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,793วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAARecent forecast guidance from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles centers Beijing’s May 17 high near 19–21 °C. A weak cold front is expected to maintain northerly flow, sustain light rain or drizzle, and produce extensive cloud cover that sharply limits daytime solar heating. This setup explains why the 19 °C outcome leads with a 40 % market-implied probability, followed by 20 °C at 28.5 %. Partial clearing ahead of or behind the front could briefly allow readings to 22 °C or higher, while continued overcast conditions favor the lower brackets. The next model runs and official updates scheduled overnight will refine the timing of frontal passage and any associated temperature adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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