National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 16?
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 ปริมาณ
$32,732 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
Yes
56°F or higher 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$32,732 ปริมาณ
$32,732 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
37°F or below
$8,654 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$2,071 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$2,902 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$1,326 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$1,673 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$1,677 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$1,759 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$2,226 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,009 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$2,099 ปริมาณ
No
56°F or higher
$6,336 ปริมาณ
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,732วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,732วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:10 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations confirm that Chicago will reach a daytime high well above 56°F on May 16, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge and southerly flow transporting milder air from the Gulf region. Mid-May climatology places average highs near 70°F, and current model runs show no significant cooling mechanism capable of keeping temperatures below the threshold. Morning readings already climbing through the 50s further support the market's unanimous trader consensus. The sole realistic scenario that could alter this outcome would require an unforecasted frontal passage or anomalous cold advection, conditions current ensemble guidance assigns near-zero probability before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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