Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 78°F or higher at 100% implied probability for Denver's May 14 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecasts projecting peaks near 87°F amid summerlike conditions from a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and adiabatic warming. Morning Area Forecast Discussion notes model agreement (GFS, ECMWF) keeping KDEN short of record highs but comfortably above the threshold, with midday observations already surpassing 78°F at Denver International Airport. This follows a week of near-record 80s after early May snow, aligning with climatological analogs for ridge-dominated patterns. Realistic challenges—sudden convective cooling or data revisions—are improbable given the stable synoptic setup and remaining daylight heating; final NOAA climate summary expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on May 14?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 14?
64-65°F <1%
$49,762 ปริมาณ
$49,762 ปริมาณ
64-65°F
<1%
64-65°F <1%
$49,762 ปริมาณ
$49,762 ปริมาณ
64-65°F
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 78°F or higher at 100% implied probability for Denver's May 14 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) Boulder forecasts projecting peaks near 87°F amid summerlike conditions from a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and adiabatic warming. Morning Area Forecast Discussion notes model agreement (GFS, ECMWF) keeping KDEN short of record highs but comfortably above the threshold, with midday observations already surpassing 78°F at Denver International Airport. This follows a week of near-record 80s after early May snow, aligning with climatological analogs for ridge-dominated patterns. Realistic challenges—sudden convective cooling or data revisions—are improbable given the stable synoptic setup and remaining daylight heating; final NOAA climate summary expected post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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