The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver on May 15 projects a high temperature near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and efficient solar heating on the Front Range, following a sharp rebound from early May's heavy snow events around May 6. Historical May highs average around 72°F, making this heat outlier consistent with current dry, stable air mass conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of monsoon moisture sparking afternoon thunderstorms or a northward dip in cooler air, though ensemble spreads remain tight; monitor NWS updates through midday for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on May 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 15?
74°F or higher 99.3%
72-73°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
ใหม่
$37,329 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$37,329 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
99%
74°F or higher 99.3%
72-73°F <1%
55°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
ใหม่
$37,329 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$37,329 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
55°F or below
$12,960 ปริมาณ
<1%
56-57°F
$3,518 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$2,021 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$2,090 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$1,838 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,919 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$2,603 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$2,152 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$2,028 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$2,076 ปริมาณ
<1%
74°F or higher
$4,169 ปริมาณ
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver on May 15 projects a high temperature near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and efficient solar heating on the Front Range, following a sharp rebound from early May's heavy snow events around May 6. Historical May highs average around 72°F, making this heat outlier consistent with current dry, stable air mass conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of monsoon moisture sparking afternoon thunderstorms or a northward dip in cooler air, though ensemble spreads remain tight; monitor NWS updates through midday for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,329วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver on May 15 projects a high temperature near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and efficient solar heating on the Front Range, following a sharp rebound from early May's heavy snow events around May 6. Historical May highs average around 72°F, making this heat outlier consistent with current dry, stable air mass conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of monsoon moisture sparking afternoon thunderstorms or a northward dip in cooler air, though ensemble spreads remain tight; monitor NWS updates through midday for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,329วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast for Denver on May 15 projects a high temperature near 87°F under partly sunny skies with light winds, driving the market's 99.2% implied probability for 74°F or higher as traders align with strong model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles. This positioning stems from a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies fostering subsidence warming and efficient solar heating on the Front Range, following a sharp rebound from early May's heavy snow events around May 6. Historical May highs average around 72°F, making this heat outlier consistent with current dry, stable air mass conditions. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of monsoon moisture sparking afternoon thunderstorms or a northward dip in cooler air, though ensemble spreads remain tight; monitor NWS updates through midday for final confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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