Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 13?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 ปริมาณ
$29,472 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$29,472 ปริมาณ
$29,472 ปริมาณ
May 13, 2026
23°C or below
$12,183 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$2,967 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,894 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,962 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$1,983 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,544 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,262 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,008 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$3,222 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$701 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$746 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,472วันสิ้นสุด
May 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket delivers 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 13, anchored by China Meteorological Administration forecasts capping the daily maximum near 19°C amid overcast skies and southerly breezes channeling cool Yellow Sea maritime air in the wake of a recent cold front. Morning observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) register mid-teens Celsius under persistent cloud cover, corroborated by GFS and ECMWF model ensembles projecting subdued insolation below the mid-May climatological average of 22°C. Unexpected afternoon clearing could enable 3–5°C extra warming via enhanced solar heating, though low-altitude satellite imagery signals ongoing stability; resolution awaits finalized Wunderground ZSQD data by midnight local time.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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