Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on May 17?
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
$20,577 ปริมาณ
$20,577 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 32%
28°C 24%
29°C 13%
$20,577 ปริมาณ
$20,577 ปริมาณ
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
7%
26°C
32%
27°C
32%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZRecent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts indicate peak temperatures in Shenzhen on May 17 clustering near 27°C, shaped by humid southwesterly monsoon flow off the South China Sea that fuels afternoon convection and caps insolation. This follows the clearer, warmer conditions that produced 31°C on May 13, with increased cloud cover and scattered showers now moderating daytime highs relative to the seasonal 29°C climatological average. Land-sea breeze effects and variable boundary-layer moisture further differentiate outcomes between 26°C and 28°C, while higher thresholds remain unlikely absent rapid clearing. Official resolution will rely on Bao’an Airport observations, with final model guidance expected overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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