Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran over the latter’s remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium have become the central driver of trader assessments, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on enrichment facilities in June 2025 that damaged sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan but left approximately 440 kilograms of 60-percent-enriched material unaccounted for. Recent U.S. proposals during talks in Islamabad and elsewhere have included a 20-year moratorium on enrichment and monitored down-blending or removal of the stockpile, while Iranian officials have offered IAEA-verified dilution in exchange for sanctions relief and have rejected outright transfer to the United States. President Trump’s public statements emphasizing ongoing surveillance of the material and flexibility on enforcement have introduced uncertainty about whether a formal handover agreement will be reached before the end of 2026, with scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and potential IAEA inspection returns serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วสหรัฐฯได้รับยูเรเนียมที่อุดมด้วยอิหร่านโดย...?
สหรัฐฯได้รับยูเรเนียมที่อุดมด้วยอิหร่านโดย...?
$14,784,691 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
31 พฤษภาคม
6%
June 30
13%
31 ธันวาคม
27%
$14,784,691 ปริมาณ
31 พฤษภาคม
$12,760,434 ปริมาณ
6%
June 30
$285,290 ปริมาณ
13%
31 ธันวาคม
$575,032 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran over the latter’s remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium have become the central driver of trader assessments, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on enrichment facilities in June 2025 that damaged sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan but left approximately 440 kilograms of 60-percent-enriched material unaccounted for. Recent U.S. proposals during talks in Islamabad and elsewhere have included a 20-year moratorium on enrichment and monitored down-blending or removal of the stockpile, while Iranian officials have offered IAEA-verified dilution in exchange for sanctions relief and have rejected outright transfer to the United States. President Trump’s public statements emphasizing ongoing surveillance of the material and flexibility on enforcement have introduced uncertainty about whether a formal handover agreement will be reached before the end of 2026, with scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and potential IAEA inspection returns serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,784,691วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran over the latter’s remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium have become the central driver of trader assessments, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on enrichment facilities in June 2025 that damaged sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan but left approximately 440 kilograms of 60-percent-enriched material unaccounted for. Recent U.S. proposals during talks in Islamabad and elsewhere have included a 20-year moratorium on enrichment and monitored down-blending or removal of the stockpile, while Iranian officials have offered IAEA-verified dilution in exchange for sanctions relief and have rejected outright transfer to the United States. President Trump’s public statements emphasizing ongoing surveillance of the material and flexibility on enforcement have introduced uncertainty about whether a formal handover agreement will be reached before the end of 2026, with scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and potential IAEA inspection returns serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify.
Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure.
A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,784,691วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 17, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran over the latter’s remaining stockpile of highly enriched uranium have become the central driver of trader assessments, following U.S. and Israeli strikes on enrichment facilities in June 2025 that damaged sites at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan but left approximately 440 kilograms of 60-percent-enriched material unaccounted for. Recent U.S. proposals during talks in Islamabad and elsewhere have included a 20-year moratorium on enrichment and monitored down-blending or removal of the stockpile, while Iranian officials have offered IAEA-verified dilution in exchange for sanctions relief and have rejected outright transfer to the United States. President Trump’s public statements emphasizing ongoing surveillance of the material and flexibility on enforcement have introduced uncertainty about whether a formal handover agreement will be reached before the end of 2026, with scheduled diplomatic follow-ups and potential IAEA inspection returns serving as key near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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