National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring overwhelming market consensus on the 54–55 °F bin. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and allowing radiational cooling to proceed at a moderate rate typical for mid-May in the New York metro area, where climatological minimums average near 53 °F. Traders have priced in minimal upside or downside risk because the forecast window is narrow and model agreement is high. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering flow that either advects cooler marine air or increases cloud cover enough to limit overnight temperature drop below 53 °F, though neither scenario appears probable in the latest model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 16?
54-55°F 99.5%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$13,089 Vol.
$13,089 Vol.
May 16, 2026
43°F or below
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
100%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 99.5%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$13,089 Vol.
$13,089 Vol.
May 16, 2026
43°F or below
$552 Vol.
<1%
44-45°F
$661 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$387 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,224 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,974 Vol.
100%
56-57°F
$2,714 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$629 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,615 Vol.
<1%
62°F or higher
$2,426 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring overwhelming market consensus on the 54–55 °F bin. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and allowing radiational cooling to proceed at a moderate rate typical for mid-May in the New York metro area, where climatological minimums average near 53 °F. Traders have priced in minimal upside or downside risk because the forecast window is narrow and model agreement is high. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering flow that either advects cooler marine air or increases cloud cover enough to limit overnight temperature drop below 53 °F, though neither scenario appears probable in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,089Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring overwhelming market consensus on the 54–55 °F bin. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and allowing radiational cooling to proceed at a moderate rate typical for mid-May in the New York metro area, where climatological minimums average near 53 °F. Traders have priced in minimal upside or downside risk because the forecast window is narrow and model agreement is high. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering flow that either advects cooler marine air or increases cloud cover enough to limit overnight temperature drop below 53 °F, though neither scenario appears probable in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$13,089Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 16, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGANational Weather Service guidance and ensemble means from the GFS and ECMWF models currently place the overnight low at LaGuardia Airport in the 53–56 °F range, anchoring overwhelming market consensus on the 54–55 °F bin. This reflects stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and allowing radiational cooling to proceed at a moderate rate typical for mid-May in the New York metro area, where climatological minimums average near 53 °F. Traders have priced in minimal upside or downside risk because the forecast window is narrow and model agreement is high. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected shift in steering flow that either advects cooler marine air or increases cloud cover enough to limit overnight temperature drop below 53 °F, though neither scenario appears probable in the latest model runs.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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