Abelardo de la Espriella secured approximately 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him ahead of Iván Cepeda and into the runoff scheduled for June 21. Recent official certification of those results, following a peaceful vote and international observation, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-45 percent band. De la Espriella, running as an independent on a hardline security platform modeled on Salvadoran policies, consolidated right-wing support after outperforming earlier polling; other conservative candidates underperformed, channeling votes his way in the campaign’s final weeks. Late endorsements from figures such as Paloma Valencia and former presidents further bolstered his totals. A successful legal challenge or delayed recount remains the primary scenario that could alter the recorded share before final market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAbelardo de la Espriella vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 96.2%
45%+ 2.4%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Обс.
$13,642 Обс.
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
96%
45%+
2%
40-45% 96.2%
45%+ 2.4%
<20% <1%
20-25% <1%
$13,642 Обс.
$13,642 Обс.
<20%
1%
20-25%
<1%
25-30%
<1%
30-35%
<1%
35-40%
<1%
40-45%
96%
45%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Ринок відкрито: May 27, 2026, 10:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Abelardo de la Espriella wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Abelardo de la Espriella, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella secured approximately 43.7 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, placing him ahead of Iván Cepeda and into the runoff scheduled for June 21. Recent official certification of those results, following a peaceful vote and international observation, has anchored trader consensus on the 40-45 percent band. De la Espriella, running as an independent on a hardline security platform modeled on Salvadoran policies, consolidated right-wing support after outperforming earlier polling; other conservative candidates underperformed, channeling votes his way in the campaign’s final weeks. Late endorsements from figures such as Paloma Valencia and former presidents further bolstered his totals. A successful legal challenge or delayed recount remains the primary scenario that could alter the recorded share before final market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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