The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district remains tightly contested between state legislative veterans Kevin Steele and Mike Beltran, with recent polling showing Beltran holding a narrow 29-26% edge within the margin of error and no other candidate reaching double digits. Steele's abrupt resignation from his House seat days earlier, tied to a voting-location controversy, has introduced last-minute uncertainty into an otherwise standard contest between two Tampa Bay-area Republicans seeking the nomination against incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor. Trader pricing reflects this compressed timeline and limited late polling, with separation likely hinging on final-weekend turnout, any additional endorsements, or unresolved questions around Steele's eligibility and support consolidation in the crowded field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKevin Steele 56%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$24,418 Обс.
$24,418 Обс.
Kevin Steele
56%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
Kevin Steele 56%
Mike Beltran 42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%
Michael Marcel <1%
$24,418 Обс.
$24,418 Обс.
Kevin Steele
56%
Mike Beltran
42%
Ergin "Batman" Tek
<1%
Michael Marcel
<1%
John Peters
<1%
Robert "Rocky" Rochford
<1%
Gavriel Soriano
<1%
Bea Valenti
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The August 18 Republican primary for Florida's 14th congressional district remains tightly contested between state legislative veterans Kevin Steele and Mike Beltran, with recent polling showing Beltran holding a narrow 29-26% edge within the margin of error and no other candidate reaching double digits. Steele's abrupt resignation from his House seat days earlier, tied to a voting-location controversy, has introduced last-minute uncertainty into an otherwise standard contest between two Tampa Bay-area Republicans seeking the nomination against incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor. Trader pricing reflects this compressed timeline and limited late polling, with separation likely hinging on final-weekend turnout, any additional endorsements, or unresolved questions around Steele's eligibility and support consolidation in the crowded field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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