National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 46%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
НОВЕ
$10,531 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,531 Обс.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
30%
90°F or higher
46%
90°F or higher 46%
88-89°F 30%
86-87°F 13%
84-85°F 8%
НОВЕ
$10,531 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,531 Обс.
May 16, 2026
71°F or below
$2,891 Обс.
1%
72-73°F
$2,013 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,013 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,102 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$720 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$517 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$77 Обс.
4%
84-85°F
$22 Обс.
8%
86-87°F
$135 Обс.
13%
88-89°F
$246 Обс.
30%
90°F or higher
$142 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,531Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$10,531Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to Austin highs near 89°F on May 16 under a building upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating, positioning 88-89°F (32%) narrowly ahead of 90°F or higher (27%) in trader sentiment. Close odds reflect uncertainty in differentiating factors like afternoon cumulus cloud formation, southwesterly boundary layer winds mixing heat downward, and peak solar insolation timing at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport—the official observing site. Climatological May 16 normals average 86°F, but rain-free conditions through the weekend favor above-normal readings. New 00Z/12Z GFS and ECMWF runs on May 15 could sharpen this spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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