Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high temperature of mid-80s to mid-90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 15, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating amid low humidity. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, confirming minimal cloud interference and breezy south winds that enhance mixing but not cooling. Trader sentiment at 98.4% implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, with climatological May averages around 87°F providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening high clouds or isolated thunderstorms, though dry conditions through the weekend limit such risks; monitor afternoon updates for refinements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 15?
86°F or higher 98.4%
84-85°F 1.9%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
НОВЕ
$31,458 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,458 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
98%
86°F or higher 98.4%
84-85°F 1.9%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
НОВЕ
$31,458 Обс.
НОВЕ
$31,458 Обс.
May 15, 2026
67°F or below
$6,666 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,766 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$9,659 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$2,043 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,436 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$998 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,210 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,169 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$830 Обс.
1%
84-85°F
$1,262 Обс.
2%
86°F or higher
$1,473 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high temperature of mid-80s to mid-90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 15, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating amid low humidity. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, confirming minimal cloud interference and breezy south winds that enhance mixing but not cooling. Trader sentiment at 98.4% implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, with climatological May averages around 87°F providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening high clouds or isolated thunderstorms, though dry conditions through the weekend limit such risks; monitor afternoon updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,458Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high temperature of mid-80s to mid-90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 15, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating amid low humidity. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, confirming minimal cloud interference and breezy south winds that enhance mixing but not cooling. Trader sentiment at 98.4% implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, with climatological May averages around 87°F providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening high clouds or isolated thunderstorms, though dry conditions through the weekend limit such risks; monitor afternoon updates for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$31,458Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:19 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Austin projects a high temperature of mid-80s to mid-90s Fahrenheit at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on May 15, driven by a persistent upper-level high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating amid low humidity. This aligns with forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs over the past 24 hours, confirming minimal cloud interference and breezy south winds that enhance mixing but not cooling. Trader sentiment at 98.4% implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects this robust evidence, with climatological May averages around 87°F providing baseline support. Realistic challenges include unexpected thickening high clouds or isolated thunderstorms, though dry conditions through the weekend limit such risks; monitor afternoon updates for refinements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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