National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 14?
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Обс.
$91,314 Обс.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
Yes
82°F or higher 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 Обс.
$91,314 Обс.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
$9,142 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$3,324 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$7,014 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$5,391 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$6,164 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$5,631 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$5,532 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$6,860 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$5,842 Обс.
No
80-81°F
$10,528 Обс.
No
82°F or higher
$25,885 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Обсяг
$91,314Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$91,314Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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