Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus to 87.5% for a Democratic win, bolstered by his $433,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challenger Renada Collins and the absence of any Republican candidates. The district's majority-minority demographics, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, reinforce this outlook. Yesterday's announcement suspending May 16 party primaries for U.S. House races—following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the congressional map an unconstitutional gerrymander—reverts contests to the November 3 open primary, where top two advance if no majority, but introduces negligible risk to Democratic dominance in this safe seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$41,449 Обс.
$41,449 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
10%
$41,449 Обс.
$41,449 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,765 Обс.
88%
Republican Party
$19,684 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus to 87.5% for a Democratic win, bolstered by his $433,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challenger Renada Collins and the absence of any Republican candidates. The district's majority-minority demographics, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, reinforce this outlook. Yesterday's announcement suspending May 16 party primaries for U.S. House races—following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the congressional map an unconstitutional gerrymander—reverts contests to the November 3 open primary, where top two advance if no majority, but introduces negligible risk to Democratic dominance in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,449Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus to 87.5% for a Democratic win, bolstered by his $433,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challenger Renada Collins and the absence of any Republican candidates. The district's majority-minority demographics, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, reinforce this outlook. Yesterday's announcement suspending May 16 party primaries for U.S. House races—following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the congressional map an unconstitutional gerrymander—reverts contests to the November 3 open primary, where top two advance if no majority, but introduces negligible risk to Democratic dominance in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$41,449Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Troy Carter's strong position in Louisiana's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+17 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus to 87.5% for a Democratic win, bolstered by his $433,000 cash-on-hand edge over primary challenger Renada Collins and the absence of any Republican candidates. The district's majority-minority demographics, where Kamala Harris won 65% in 2024, reinforce this outlook. Yesterday's announcement suspending May 16 party primaries for U.S. House races—following the Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais deeming the congressional map an unconstitutional gerrymander—reverts contests to the November 3 open primary, where top two advance if no majority, but introduces negligible risk to Democratic dominance in this safe seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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