Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94% in the NY-10 House race, driven by the district's overwhelming partisan lean—D+30 or greater in recent cycles—and historical blowout margins for incumbents like Rep. Dan Goldman, who won by over 40 points in 2024. No credible Republican candidates have emerged for the June 23 Democratic primary or November general election, underscoring GOP struggles in this wealthy Manhattan-Brooklyn stronghold. Recent fundraising dominance by Goldman, backed by Gov. Kathy Hochul amid his primary challenge from ex-Comptroller Brad Lander, reinforces the safe Democratic hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a post-primary scandal engulfing the nominee, surprise GOP recruitment of a star challenger, or a massive national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-10 House Election Winner
NY-10 House Election Winner
$43,999 KL.
$43,999 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$43,999 KL.
$43,999 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,869 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$32,130 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94% in the NY-10 House race, driven by the district's overwhelming partisan lean—D+30 or greater in recent cycles—and historical blowout margins for incumbents like Rep. Dan Goldman, who won by over 40 points in 2024. No credible Republican candidates have emerged for the June 23 Democratic primary or November general election, underscoring GOP struggles in this wealthy Manhattan-Brooklyn stronghold. Recent fundraising dominance by Goldman, backed by Gov. Kathy Hochul amid his primary challenge from ex-Comptroller Brad Lander, reinforces the safe Democratic hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a post-primary scandal engulfing the nominee, surprise GOP recruitment of a star challenger, or a massive national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Khối lượng
$43,999Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94% in the NY-10 House race, driven by the district's overwhelming partisan lean—D+30 or greater in recent cycles—and historical blowout margins for incumbents like Rep. Dan Goldman, who won by over 40 points in 2024. No credible Republican candidates have emerged for the June 23 Democratic primary or November general election, underscoring GOP struggles in this wealthy Manhattan-Brooklyn stronghold. Recent fundraising dominance by Goldman, backed by Gov. Kathy Hochul amid his primary challenge from ex-Comptroller Brad Lander, reinforces the safe Democratic hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a post-primary scandal engulfing the nominee, surprise GOP recruitment of a star challenger, or a massive national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$43,999Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 94% in the NY-10 House race, driven by the district's overwhelming partisan lean—D+30 or greater in recent cycles—and historical blowout margins for incumbents like Rep. Dan Goldman, who won by over 40 points in 2024. No credible Republican candidates have emerged for the June 23 Democratic primary or November general election, underscoring GOP struggles in this wealthy Manhattan-Brooklyn stronghold. Recent fundraising dominance by Goldman, backed by Gov. Kathy Hochul amid his primary challenge from ex-Comptroller Brad Lander, reinforces the safe Democratic hold. Scenarios to shift odds include a post-primary scandal engulfing the nominee, surprise GOP recruitment of a star challenger, or a massive national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp