Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s September 6 maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This narrow range reflects modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates over the city’s elevated, inland plateau, where strong diurnal swings are typical in early September. A slightly stronger or more persistent northerly breeze could suppress the peak by 1 °C, while reduced cloud cover or weaker winds would favor the higher end. With market-implied odds tightly split between these two outcomes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any overnight model shifts that alter the expected thermal profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月6日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月6日安卡拉的最高溫度？
32°C 43%
31°C 41%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
41%
32°C
43%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或以上
2%
32°C 43%
31°C 41%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
26°C或以下
$5 交易量
<1%
27°C
$38 交易量
2%
28°C
$34 交易量
3%
29°C
$143 交易量
2%
30°C
$626 交易量
6%
31°C
$742 交易量
41%
32°C
$1,078 交易量
43%
33°C
$409 交易量
11%
34°C
$4 交易量
3%
35°C
$0 交易量
2%
36°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s September 6 maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This narrow range reflects modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates over the city’s elevated, inland plateau, where strong diurnal swings are typical in early September. A slightly stronger or more persistent northerly breeze could suppress the peak by 1 °C, while reduced cloud cover or weaker winds would favor the higher end. With market-implied odds tightly split between these two outcomes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any overnight model shifts that alter the expected thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,079結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble and deterministic model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s September 6 maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This narrow range reflects modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates over the city’s elevated, inland plateau, where strong diurnal swings are typical in early September. A slightly stronger or more persistent northerly breeze could suppress the peak by 1 °C, while reduced cloud cover or weaker winds would favor the higher end. With market-implied odds tightly split between these two outcomes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any overnight model shifts that alter the expected thermal profile.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,079結束日期
2026-09-06市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble and deterministic model runs from ECMWF and GFS place Ankara’s September 6 maximum temperature near 31–32 °C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This narrow range reflects modest differences in boundary-layer mixing and daytime heating rates over the city’s elevated, inland plateau, where strong diurnal swings are typical in early September. A slightly stronger or more persistent northerly breeze could suppress the peak by 1 °C, while reduced cloud cover or weaker winds would favor the higher end. With market-implied odds tightly split between these two outcomes, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution guidance and any overnight model shifts that alter the expected thermal profile.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions