National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月14日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
82°F或以上 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 交易量
$91,314 交易量
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
是
82°F或以上 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 交易量
$91,314 交易量
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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