Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport points to a daily high in the upper 80s under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge that favors intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when Austin averages near 86°F, but recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures just above or below 88°F. Trader sentiment has therefore clustered on the 88°F-or-higher outcome, reflecting the narrow window between observed morning readings near 75°F and the projected afternoon peak, with final resolution depending on the official maximum reported later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
88°F or higher 74%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 2.3%
82-83°F <1%
$26,943 交易量
$26,943 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
29%
88°F or higher
74%
88°F or higher 74%
86-87°F 27%
84-85°F 2.3%
82-83°F <1%
$26,943 交易量
$26,943 交易量
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
29%
88°F or higher
74%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current National Weather Service and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport points to a daily high in the upper 80s under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge that favors intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-May, when Austin averages near 86°F, but recent model runs show limited afternoon convection that could cap temperatures just above or below 88°F. Trader sentiment has therefore clustered on the 88°F-or-higher outcome, reflecting the narrow window between observed morning readings near 75°F and the projected afternoon peak, with final resolution depending on the official maximum reported later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions