Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Busan’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 will reach exactly 30 °C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula under a stable high-pressure regime. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, typical for Busan’s location, is expected to moderate peak readings precisely at this threshold rather than allowing further inland-style warming. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs climbing through the mid-20s °C with occasional 30 °C spikes under similar synoptic patterns, lending additional support to the market’s near-certain pricing of the 30 °C outcome. Resolution hinges on the official Gimhae International Airport station reading, and only a notable increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-forecast sea breeze could realistically shift the peak into the adjacent 29 °C or 31 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日釜山的最高溫度?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,742 交易量
$49,742 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$49,742 交易量
$49,742 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate Busan’s daily maximum temperature on May 17 will reach exactly 30 °C, driven by southerly advection of warmer air masses across the Korean Peninsula under a stable high-pressure regime. Coastal sea-breeze circulation, typical for Busan’s location, is expected to moderate peak readings precisely at this threshold rather than allowing further inland-style warming. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs climbing through the mid-20s °C with occasional 30 °C spikes under similar synoptic patterns, lending additional support to the market’s near-certain pricing of the 30 °C outcome. Resolution hinges on the official Gimhae International Airport station reading, and only a notable increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-forecast sea breeze could realistically shift the peak into the adjacent 29 °C or 31 °C range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions