Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$34,605 交易量
$34,605 交易量
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$34,605 交易量
$34,605 交易量
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature in Cape Town on May 14 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observations from the South African Weather Service (SAWS) and Cape Town International Airport (FACT) METAR reports showing peak readings of 18°C mid-afternoon under partly cloudy skies and moderate south-westerly winds. Following disruptive heavy rainfall and a cold front earlier in the week (May 11–13), today's cool autumn conditions— with morning fog patches clearing to hazy sunshine—align with climatological May averages of 20–22°C but capped by persistent cloud cover and sea breeze influences. New evening METARs or final SAWS daily summary could confirm, though a late heat burst exceeding 19°C remains highly unlikely given solar angle decline post-17:00 SAST sunset and stable atmospheric profiles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions