National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 project a high near 101–102°F under sunny skies, southerly winds, and low humidity amid persistent high pressure, directly supporting the market’s 76% implied probability for 100–101°F as the peak. This aligns with ongoing late-summer heat across North Texas, where heat advisories remain in effect and model consensus shows limited afternoon cloud development that could cap intensification. Trader consensus reflects these official guidance updates, with 98–99°F as the main alternative if daytime heating falls marginally short. Minor uncertainty persists from potential microscale variations in wind or moisture, though historical August baselines and recent model runs reinforce the narrow temperature window around 100–101°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日達拉斯的最高溫度?
100-101°F 83%
98-99°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 2%
$27,298 交易量
$27,298 交易量
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
83%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 83%
98-99°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 2%
$27,298 交易量
$27,298 交易量
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
9%
100-101°F
83%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 15 project a high near 101–102°F under sunny skies, southerly winds, and low humidity amid persistent high pressure, directly supporting the market’s 76% implied probability for 100–101°F as the peak. This aligns with ongoing late-summer heat across North Texas, where heat advisories remain in effect and model consensus shows limited afternoon cloud development that could cap intensification. Trader consensus reflects these official guidance updates, with 98–99°F as the main alternative if daytime heating falls marginally short. Minor uncertainty persists from potential microscale variations in wind or moisture, though historical August baselines and recent model runs reinforce the narrow temperature window around 100–101°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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