National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 交易量
$63,161 交易量
2026-05-16
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$63,161 交易量
$63,161 交易量
2026-05-16
65°F or below
$15,329 交易量
No
66-67°F
$4,226 交易量
No
68-69°F
$2,668 交易量
No
70-71°F
$2,861 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,261 交易量
No
74-75°F
$5,104 交易量
No
76-77°F
$7,121 交易量
Yes
78-79°F
$4,166 交易量
No
80-81°F
$5,239 交易量
No
82-83°F
$5,152 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$7,032 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$63,161結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$63,161結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
National Weather Service observations and verification data from Denver’s official reporting station confirm a daytime high of 76–77°F on May 16, 2026, under a stable high-pressure ridge with light northerly flow that limited afternoon warming. Consensus runs from the GFS and ECMWF models, initialized 24–48 hours earlier, consistently projected peak temperatures in this narrow range after accounting for Denver’s high-elevation diurnal cycle and typical May climatology near 74°F. With the event now complete and official readings aligned precisely with those forecasts, trader consensus has converged on the 76–77°F outcome at essentially 100 percent implied probability. Only an unreported station anomaly or post-event data revision could alter resolution, scenarios considered highly unlikely given standard NOAA quality-control protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions