Recent official forecasts from regional agencies highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rain expected to suppress surface heating in Guangzhou on August 13, limiting the daily maximum to the 33–35 °C range. These conditions align with typical subtropical summer patterns in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and convective activity reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 34 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 34 °C holding the strongest consensus as traders weigh the timing and coverage of precipitation against any brief clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 98%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
$57,455 交易量
$57,455 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
98%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
35°C 98%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
29°C或以下 <1%
$57,455 交易量
$57,455 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
98%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from regional agencies highlight persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rain expected to suppress surface heating in Guangzhou on August 13, limiting the daily maximum to the 33–35 °C range. These conditions align with typical subtropical summer patterns in the Pearl River Delta, where monsoon moisture and convective activity reduce solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping peaks below the seasonal climatological average near 34 °C. Market-implied odds reflect this guidance, with 34 °C holding the strongest consensus as traders weigh the timing and coverage of precipitation against any brief clearing that could allow brief spikes toward 35 °C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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