Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS places Helsinki's September 4 maximum near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 15–17°C moderated by Baltic Sea influence, with current stable pressure patterns and modest moisture supporting little deviation from these values. Minor model spread keeps 19°C viable at 19.5% odds, while cooler 16°C or below remains low-probability given the absence of northerly intrusions. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and refined runs ahead of the date will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
9月4日赫爾辛基的最高溫度？
18°C 50%
17°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
20%
20°C
3%
21°C或以上
1%
18°C 50%
17°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
11°C或以下
$96 交易量
<1%
12°C
$81 交易量
<1%
13°C
$221 交易量
1%
14°C
$67 交易量
1%
15°C
$164 交易量
2%
16°C
$289 交易量
5%
17°C
$412 交易量
27%
18°C
$820 交易量
50%
19°C
$562 交易量
20%
20°C
$203 交易量
3%
21°C或以上
$143 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS places Helsinki's September 4 maximum near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 15–17°C moderated by Baltic Sea influence, with current stable pressure patterns and modest moisture supporting little deviation from these values. Minor model spread keeps 19°C viable at 19.5% odds, while cooler 16°C or below remains low-probability given the absence of northerly intrusions. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and refined runs ahead of the date will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,059結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS places Helsinki's September 4 maximum near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 15–17°C moderated by Baltic Sea influence, with current stable pressure patterns and modest moisture supporting little deviation from these values. Minor model spread keeps 19°C viable at 19.5% odds, while cooler 16°C or below remains low-probability given the absence of northerly intrusions. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and refined runs ahead of the date will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,059結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from models including ECMWF and GFS places Helsinki's September 4 maximum near 17–18°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, aligning with the market's leading 18°C outcome at 47% implied probability. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 15–17°C moderated by Baltic Sea influence, with current stable pressure patterns and modest moisture supporting little deviation from these values. Minor model spread keeps 19°C viable at 19.5% odds, while cooler 16°C or below remains low-probability given the absence of northerly intrusions. Finnish Meteorological Institute updates and refined runs ahead of the date will provide the key data shifts traders monitor for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions