**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Helsinki’s lowest temperature on September 4 centers overwhelmingly on 6°C or below at 99.6% implied probability.** Current observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport (EFHK) recorded temperatures around 7°C (45°F) in the early morning under clear skies, with forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international guidance projecting continued radiative cooling overnight into the low single digits. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows near 11°C can drop sharply during calm, clear conditions, and historical records show minima as low as 5.4°C. Key upcoming data points include updated FMI model runs and official daily minimum reports that will confirm resolution criteria. The primary risk to this positioning remains an unexpected increase in cloud cover or southerly flow that could hold temperatures several degrees higher than current projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日赫爾辛基最低溫度?
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
6°C或以下
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
6°C或以下 99.6%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
6°C或以下
100%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Helsinki’s lowest temperature on September 4 centers overwhelmingly on 6°C or below at 99.6% implied probability.** Current observations from Helsinki-Vantaa Airport (EFHK) recorded temperatures around 7°C (45°F) in the early morning under clear skies, with forecast models from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and international guidance projecting continued radiative cooling overnight into the low single digits. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average lows near 11°C can drop sharply during calm, clear conditions, and historical records show minima as low as 5.4°C. Key upcoming data points include updated FMI model runs and official daily minimum reports that will confirm resolution criteria. The primary risk to this positioning remains an unexpected increase in cloud cover or southerly flow that could hold temperatures several degrees higher than current projections.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions