High pressure and clear skies across southern England are driving the current Met Office forecast for a very hot, sunny day in London with maximum temperatures of 35–36 °C and minimal rain risk. Official guidance highlights light easterly winds and high humidity that limit overnight cooling, positioning the daily high near the upper end of recent model consensus. The 34–36 °C cluster (market-implied odds exceeding 95 %) reflects this consensus from the latest runs, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud could still alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with updated forecasts expected through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 24%
33°C 5.8%
$119,614 交易量
$119,614 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 24%
33°C 5.8%
$119,614 交易量
$119,614 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
High pressure and clear skies across southern England are driving the current Met Office forecast for a very hot, sunny day in London with maximum temperatures of 35–36 °C and minimal rain risk. Official guidance highlights light easterly winds and high humidity that limit overnight cooling, positioning the daily high near the upper end of recent model consensus. The 34–36 °C cluster (market-implied odds exceeding 95 %) reflects this consensus from the latest runs, though minor shifts in timing or localized cloud could still alter the exact peak. Resolution hinges on official station readings, with updated forecasts expected through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions