Persistent high pressure over southern England, combined with southerly winds advecting warm continental air and clear skies enhancing solar heating, drives Met Office forecasts for a 35°C peak in London on August 13 amid the summer's fifth heatwave. Official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme-heat warning, while southeast regional outlooks reach 37°C and BBC models cluster near 36°C; ensemble spreads and light variable winds introduce minor uncertainty around exact resolution at London City Airport. Trader consensus at 50.5% for 35°C, 27% for 34°C, and 16% for 36°C reflects this tight forecast range and historical late-summer anticyclonic patterns, with final observations determining the bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日倫敦的最高溫度?
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 24%
33°C 6.2%
$119,614 交易量
$119,614 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 27%
34°C 24%
33°C 6.2%
$119,614 交易量
$119,614 交易量
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
45%
36°C
27%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure over southern England, combined with southerly winds advecting warm continental air and clear skies enhancing solar heating, drives Met Office forecasts for a 35°C peak in London on August 13 amid the summer's fifth heatwave. Official guidance lists a 35°C maximum with an amber extreme-heat warning, while southeast regional outlooks reach 37°C and BBC models cluster near 36°C; ensemble spreads and light variable winds introduce minor uncertainty around exact resolution at London City Airport. Trader consensus at 50.5% for 35°C, 27% for 34°C, and 16% for 36°C reflects this tight forecast range and historical late-summer anticyclonic patterns, with final observations determining the bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions