The overwhelming trader consensus for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 reflects the Indian Meteorological Department’s current forecast of a maximum near 40–41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies. Recent observations show daytime highs several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline, driven by lingering atmospheric moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that has limited solar insolation and surface heating across the Ganges Plain. With short-range model consensus holding steady and minimal spread projected, traders see only slim odds for exceeding 41°C if drier air advects in and intensifies insolation before evening. Final resolution rests on the official Lucknow observatory reading, where any last-minute IMD update could still introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
41°C or below 99.6%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
46°C <1%
$44,924 交易量
$44,924 交易量
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 99.6%
43°C <1%
42°C <1%
46°C <1%
$44,924 交易量
$44,924 交易量
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The overwhelming trader consensus for a highest temperature of 41°C or below in Lucknow on May 17 reflects the Indian Meteorological Department’s current forecast of a maximum near 40–41°C under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies. Recent observations show daytime highs several degrees below the seasonal 40–43°C climatological baseline, driven by lingering atmospheric moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that has limited solar insolation and surface heating across the Ganges Plain. With short-range model consensus holding steady and minimal spread projected, traders see only slim odds for exceeding 41°C if drier air advects in and intensifies insolation before evening. Final resolution rests on the official Lucknow observatory reading, where any last-minute IMD update could still introduce modest uncertainty around the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions