AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月12日馬德裏氣溫最高？
38°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,504 交易量
$102,504 交易量
2026-08-12
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$102,504 交易量
$102,504 交易量
2026-08-12
33°C or below
$13,375 交易量
No
34°C
$417 交易量
No
35°C
$2,093 交易量
No
36°C
$4,588 交易量
No
37°C
$13,572 交易量
No
38°C
$25,597 交易量
Yes
39°C
$16,936 交易量
No
40°C
$16,075 交易量
No
41°C
$7,028 交易量
No
42°C
$1,754 交易量
No
43°C or higher
$1,069 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$102,504結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$102,504結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
AEMET forecasts for Madrid on August 12 project a daytime maximum of 38°C under persistent high pressure and clear skies, with afternoon readings peaking near that level before cooling overnight to around 24–25°C. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August in central Spain, where seasonal solar heating and minimal cloud cover routinely produce highs in the mid-to-upper 30s. Model consensus from official sources shows little deviation, supporting the market's near-certain positioning at 38°C. Only an unexpected shift in steering winds or rapid convective development could alter the outcome before evening observations finalize the daily high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions