Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 交易量
$84,190 交易量
華氏81度或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
華氏100度或以上
否
92-93°F 100.0%
華氏81度或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$84,190 交易量
$84,190 交易量
華氏81度或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
是
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
華氏100度或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Miami International Airport confirmed a daily high of 92–93°F on May 15, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that range. This reading aligns with mid-May climatology for South Florida, where seasonal averages hover near 85–88°F yet can spike under clear skies, light winds, and subsiding high pressure that suppresses afternoon convection. Model guidance from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction had consistently projected peak values in the low 90s, with minimal spread across ensemble members. Only an unexpected post-event revision to the official KMIA station record—highly improbable given redundant quality-control protocols—could shift resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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