Current meteorological forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge with southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 26°C on May 17—well above the May climatological average of 18°C. Numerical weather prediction runs exhibit tight consensus on peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow band, driven by modest boundary-layer heating and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 26°C. Minor upward shifts remain possible if skies clear more than anticipated, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap readings at or below 25°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫斯科5月17日最高溫度？
莫斯科5月17日最高溫度？
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,362 交易量
$44,362 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
18°C or below <1%
$44,362 交易量
$44,362 交易量
2026-05-17
18°C or below
$1,628 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,641 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,344 交易量
<1%
21°C
$3,934 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,252 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,335 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,517 交易量
<1%
25°C
$6,198 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,853 交易量
100%
27°C
$5,539 交易量
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,119 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge with southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 26°C on May 17—well above the May climatological average of 18°C. Numerical weather prediction runs exhibit tight consensus on peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow band, driven by modest boundary-layer heating and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 26°C. Minor upward shifts remain possible if skies clear more than anticipated, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap readings at or below 25°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$44,362結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge with southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 26°C on May 17—well above the May climatological average of 18°C. Numerical weather prediction runs exhibit tight consensus on peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow band, driven by modest boundary-layer heating and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 26°C. Minor upward shifts remain possible if skies clear more than anticipated, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap readings at or below 25°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest model guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$44,362結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent meteorological forecasts from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble models show Moscow under a high-pressure ridge with southerly warm-air advection and mostly clear skies, supporting a daytime maximum of 26°C on May 17—well above the May climatological average of 18°C. Numerical weather prediction runs exhibit tight consensus on peak afternoon temperatures in this narrow band, driven by modest boundary-layer heating and limited moisture. This alignment underpins the market’s 99.8% implied probability for 26°C. Minor upward shifts remain possible if skies clear more than anticipated, while increased cloud cover or earlier precipitation could cap readings at or below 25°C, though such revisions appear unlikely given the latest model guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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