Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that curbs daytime heating while holding temperatures above seasonal lows. Mid-May climatology for the region typically centers on 17–19°C, yet recent Atlantic air advection has suppressed readings, aligning trader consensus with the 99.9% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Official resolution will hinge on verified observational data at the primary station; modest shifts remain possible if final model runs or localized cloud breaks alter the peak, though the current setup strongly favors this narrow outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日慕尼黑最高溫度?
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$45,815 交易量
$45,815 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$45,815 交易量
$45,815 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles converge on a daily maximum of 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that curbs daytime heating while holding temperatures above seasonal lows. Mid-May climatology for the region typically centers on 17–19°C, yet recent Atlantic air advection has suppressed readings, aligning trader consensus with the 99.9% implied probability for exactly 16°C. Official resolution will hinge on verified observational data at the primary station; modest shifts remain possible if final model runs or localized cloud breaks alter the peak, though the current setup strongly favors this narrow outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions