National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park, aligning with trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin (63% implied probability) and 88-89°F range (23%). Moderate southwesterly flow advects warmer air while strong late-summer solar insolation supports peak heating; however, partly sunny skies and a chance of afternoon convection or increased moisture are expected to cap temperatures below 90°F. These conditions sit modestly above the long-term normal high of 84°F for August 13, with updated morning observations and model runs keeping probabilities tightly clustered in the upper-80s band and minimal risk of extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日紐約市的最高溫度？
8月13日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 70%
88-89°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 2%
最新
$32,150 交易量
最新
$32,150 交易量
2026-08-13
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
70%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 70%
88-89°F 19%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 2%
最新
$32,150 交易量
最新
$32,150 交易量
2026-08-13
75°F or below
$208 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$348 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$358 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$1,448 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$2,335 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$8,686 交易量
13%
86-87°F
$8,591 交易量
70%
88-89°F
$4,085 交易量
19%
90-91°F
$3,013 交易量
2%
92-93°F
$1,992 交易量
1%
94°F or higher
$1,087 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park, aligning with trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin (63% implied probability) and 88-89°F range (23%). Moderate southwesterly flow advects warmer air while strong late-summer solar insolation supports peak heating; however, partly sunny skies and a chance of afternoon convection or increased moisture are expected to cap temperatures below 90°F. These conditions sit modestly above the long-term normal high of 84°F for August 13, with updated morning observations and model runs keeping probabilities tightly clustered in the upper-80s band and minimal risk of extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$32,150結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park, aligning with trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin (63% implied probability) and 88-89°F range (23%). Moderate southwesterly flow advects warmer air while strong late-summer solar insolation supports peak heating; however, partly sunny skies and a chance of afternoon convection or increased moisture are expected to cap temperatures below 90°F. These conditions sit modestly above the long-term normal high of 84°F for August 13, with updated morning observations and model runs keeping probabilities tightly clustered in the upper-80s band and minimal risk of extremes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,150結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETNational Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a daily maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Central Park, aligning with trader consensus on the 86-87°F bin (63% implied probability) and 88-89°F range (23%). Moderate southwesterly flow advects warmer air while strong late-summer solar insolation supports peak heating; however, partly sunny skies and a chance of afternoon convection or increased moisture are expected to cap temperatures below 90°F. These conditions sit modestly above the long-term normal high of 84°F for August 13, with updated morning observations and model runs keeping probabilities tightly clustered in the upper-80s band and minimal risk of extremes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions