Strong market-implied odds favor a 31°C maximum at Incheon station due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range forecast and supporting ensemble models projecting a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow limiting intensification. Recent observational trends, including morning readings in the mid-20s°C and modest humidity, align with historical August baselines where peaks often stabilize below peak-heatwave levels despite the broader regional warmth. Resolution hinges on official Incheon station data, which could shift if afternoon clearing boosts insolation or steering patterns allow greater warming; new model runs or real-time updates from KMA could still alter the outcome before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日首爾(仁川)最高溫度?
31°C 93%
32°C 6%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$65,006 交易量
$65,006 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
93%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 93%
32°C 6%
33°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$65,006 交易量
$65,006 交易量
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
93%
32°C
6%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong market-implied odds favor a 31°C maximum at Incheon station due to the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range forecast and supporting ensemble models projecting a daytime peak near that threshold under mostly cloudy conditions with easterly flow limiting intensification. Recent observational trends, including morning readings in the mid-20s°C and modest humidity, align with historical August baselines where peaks often stabilize below peak-heatwave levels despite the broader regional warmth. Resolution hinges on official Incheon station data, which could shift if afternoon clearing boosts insolation or steering patterns allow greater warming; new model runs or real-time updates from KMA could still alter the outcome before sunset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions