Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 30°C in Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical midsummer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity and monsoon influences moderate extremes around the long-term August average high near 32°C. Recent persistent rainfall has further suppressed temperatures. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed storm development could allow brief spikes above 31–32°C, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日深圳最高溫度？
8月14日深圳最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$123,390 交易量
$123,390 交易量
2026-08-14
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$123,390 交易量
$123,390 交易量
2026-08-14
26°C或以下
$756 交易量
否
27°C
$2,664 交易量
否
28°C
$2,112 交易量
否
29°C
$17,908 交易量
否
30°C
$26,561 交易量
是
31°C
$24,858 交易量
否
32°C
$12,493 交易量
否
33°C
$10,892 交易量
否
34°C
$8,661 交易量
否
35°C
$8,311 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$8,175 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 30°C in Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical midsummer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity and monsoon influences moderate extremes around the long-term August average high near 32°C. Recent persistent rainfall has further suppressed temperatures. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed storm development could allow brief spikes above 31–32°C, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$123,390結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 30°C in Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical midsummer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity and monsoon influences moderate extremes around the long-term August average high near 32°C. Recent persistent rainfall has further suppressed temperatures. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed storm development could allow brief spikes above 31–32°C, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$123,390結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international sources such as the Met Office consistently project a daytime maximum of 30°C in Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. This aligns with typical midsummer subtropical conditions in the Pearl River Delta, where high humidity and monsoon influences moderate extremes around the long-term August average high near 32°C. Recent persistent rainfall has further suppressed temperatures. A sudden clearing of cloud cover or delayed storm development could allow brief spikes above 31–32°C, though current observations and model consensus make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions