Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,704 交易量
$74,704 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$74,704 交易量
$74,704 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Strong daytime heating under a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean is driving the market-implied 100% consensus for a 35 °C or higher maximum temperature in Tel Aviv today. Israel Meteorological Service forecasts and global ensemble models indicate clear skies and limited sea-breeze moderation will accelerate surface warming beyond the May climatological average of 26–28 °C, following cooler readings near 24–25 °C on May 15–16. Traders are pricing this outcome based on real-time observational trends and model consensus. An unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger westerly winds, or a delayed model revision could still moderate the peak below threshold before resolution at Ben Gurion International Airport.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions