Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月14日多倫多氣溫最高?
5月14日多倫多氣溫最高?
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 交易量
$153,714 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
11°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$153,714 交易量
$153,714 交易量
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
是
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada confirm Toronto's highest temperature on May 14 reached 11°C at primary reporting stations like Toronto Pearson International Airport, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome. Leading forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre and global models (GFS, ECMWF) had converged on cool conditions driven by a deep upper-level trough ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers that suppressed daytime heating—well below the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. This alignment underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges are rare but could include official data revisions from measurement anomalies or station-specific discrepancies, with final daily climate summaries expected to verify.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions