**Clear skies and southerly flow are supporting a peak temperature in Warsaw near 24–25°C today.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and local Polish services converge on afternoon highs of 23–25°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h, low humidity in the afternoon, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover reducing outgoing longwave radiation. The narrow spread between the 24°C and 25°C market outcomes reflects minor differences across model runs in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1°C locally. Updated hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
25°C 49%
24°C 44%
26°C 6%
23°C 4%
$25,332 交易量
$25,332 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
44%
25°C
49%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C或更高
<1%
25°C 49%
24°C 44%
26°C 6%
23°C 4%
$25,332 交易量
$25,332 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$1,728 交易量
<1%
20°C
$200 交易量
<1%
21°C
$278 交易量
<1%
22°C
$860 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,850 交易量
4%
24°C
$4,290 交易量
44%
25°C
$7,559 交易量
49%
26°C
$1,902 交易量
6%
27°C
$1,140 交易量
<1%
28°C
$783 交易量
<1%
29°C或更高
$1,740 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and southerly flow are supporting a peak temperature in Warsaw near 24–25°C today.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and local Polish services converge on afternoon highs of 23–25°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h, low humidity in the afternoon, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover reducing outgoing longwave radiation. The narrow spread between the 24°C and 25°C market outcomes reflects minor differences across model runs in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1°C locally. Updated hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$25,332結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and southerly flow are supporting a peak temperature in Warsaw near 24–25°C today.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and local Polish services converge on afternoon highs of 23–25°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h, low humidity in the afternoon, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover reducing outgoing longwave radiation. The narrow spread between the 24°C and 25°C market outcomes reflects minor differences across model runs in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1°C locally. Updated hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,332結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Clear skies and southerly flow are supporting a peak temperature in Warsaw near 24–25°C today.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Met Office, GFS-derived forecasts, and local Polish services converge on afternoon highs of 23–25°C under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h, low humidity in the afternoon, and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover reducing outgoing longwave radiation. The narrow spread between the 24°C and 25°C market outcomes reflects minor differences across model runs in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind direction timing, and urban heat-island effects that can add 1°C locally. Updated hourly observations and any late-day model adjustments will determine the precise maximum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions