Current forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA models show Wellington’s daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow typical of late autumn. This aligns with the region’s climatological May average of 13–15°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance, with only minor model spread around the exact peak. A late-day northerly wind shift or unexpected cloud clearing could briefly nudge readings to 15°C, but current data indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the official midnight close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
5月17日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 交易量
$53,850 交易量
2026-05-17
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,850 交易量
$53,850 交易量
2026-05-17
8°C或以下
$4,661 交易量
<1%
9°C
$2,840 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,362 交易量
<1%
11°C
$4,007 交易量
<1%
12°C
$2,263 交易量
<1%
13°C
$7,921 交易量
<1%
14°C
$7,801 交易量
100%
15°C
$4,620 交易量
<1%
16°C
$8,352 交易量
<1%
17°C
$4,197 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$4,824 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA models show Wellington’s daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow typical of late autumn. This aligns with the region’s climatological May average of 13–15°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance, with only minor model spread around the exact peak. A late-day northerly wind shift or unexpected cloud clearing could briefly nudge readings to 15°C, but current data indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the official midnight close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$53,850結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA models show Wellington’s daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow typical of late autumn. This aligns with the region’s climatological May average of 13–15°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance, with only minor model spread around the exact peak. A late-day northerly wind shift or unexpected cloud clearing could briefly nudge readings to 15°C, but current data indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the official midnight close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$53,850結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA models show Wellington’s daily maximum temperature stabilizing near 14°C on May 17 under a persistent high-pressure ridge and moderate southwesterly flow typical of late autumn. This aligns with the region’s climatological May average of 13–15°C and recent observational trends showing limited diurnal warming from clear skies and light winds. Trader consensus at 99.7% for 14°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance, with only minor model spread around the exact peak. A late-day northerly wind shift or unexpected cloud clearing could briefly nudge readings to 15°C, but current data indicate such deviations remain unlikely before the official midnight close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions