Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 交易量
$67,850 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$67,850 交易量
$67,850 交易量
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 11, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 26°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 13, 2026, driven by real-time observational data from China's Meteorological Administration and METAR reports showing peak readings of 26°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-80%, and patchy light rain that capped daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and CMA initially pointed to 26-27°C, but overcast conditions and southerly winds limited solar insolation, aligning with hourly trends peaking mid-afternoon before cooling. Historical May averages near 28°C provide context for this slightly below-normal outcome, with minimal uncertainty as the day progresses toward evening; a rare late clearing and sudden insolation surge could theoretically push it to 27°C, though current trajectories make this improbable. Final airport station data expected within 24 hours will confirm resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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