Market-implied odds place near-certain weight on a daily high of 28 °C in Wuhan today, driven by the latest consensus from regional numerical weather models that show stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and only scattered high clouds limiting daytime heating. Current observational trends and mid-May climatology place typical maxima in this range, with recent model runs showing minimal spread across ensemble members. Forecasters continue to monitor boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection that could briefly alter the peak, though conditions remain unfavorable for significant deviation. Ground-station verification later this evening will confirm the exact reading against these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日武漢氣溫最高?
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,950 交易量
$55,950 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,950 交易量
$55,950 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market-implied odds place near-certain weight on a daily high of 28 °C in Wuhan today, driven by the latest consensus from regional numerical weather models that show stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and only scattered high clouds limiting daytime heating. Current observational trends and mid-May climatology place typical maxima in this range, with recent model runs showing minimal spread across ensemble members. Forecasters continue to monitor boundary-layer moisture and any late-day convection that could briefly alter the peak, though conditions remain unfavorable for significant deviation. Ground-station verification later this evening will confirm the exact reading against these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions