Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日鄭州氣溫最高？
8月26日鄭州氣溫最高？
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 交易量
$6,273 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
Yes
32°C or higher 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,273 交易量
$6,273 交易量
2026-08-26
22°C or below
$185 交易量
No
23°C
$185 交易量
No
24°C
$185 交易量
No
25°C
$185 交易量
No
26°C
$1,140 交易量
No
27°C
$1,140 交易量
No
28°C
$1,009 交易量
No
29°C
$812 交易量
No
30°C
$657 交易量
No
31°C
$205 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$570 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,273結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,273結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Traders assigned 100% implied probability to a high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because official station observations recorded a peak of 34°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with daytime temperatures climbing steadily under variable cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Historical climatology for the region shows August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s, supported by consistent model guidance and surface data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration. While sensor calibration issues or microclimate differences at specific reporting sites could theoretically alter the official figure, the multi-station consensus and alignment with surrounding days’ readings make such revisions improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions