Karen Bass secured a first-round lead of roughly 5.3 percentage points in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, finishing at 34.3% against Nithya Raman’s 29.0% and Spencer Pratt’s 25.5%, which locked in the 5–10% margin outcome at 94.3% trader consensus. Ongoing ballot tabulation initially showed wider gaps before Raman overtook Pratt in later returns, yet Bass’s advantage over the runner-up held steady within the targeted band. In a nonpartisan top-two system, this spread reflects Bass’s incumbency edge and broad name recognition amid criticism of city governance, while Raman consolidated progressive support without closing the gap further. Late-breaking shifts in remaining mail or provisional ballots remain the primary variable that could still alter the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Bass 5–10% 94.3%
Bass 0–5% 2.4%
Bass 10–15% 1.0%
Bass 15%+ <1%
$207,065 交易量
$207,065 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass 0–5%
2%
Bass 5–10%
94%
Bass 10–15%
1%
Bass 15%+
<1%
Pratt Wins
<1%
Raman Wins
<1%
Other
<1%
Bass 5–10% 94.3%
Bass 0–5% 2.4%
Bass 10–15% 1.0%
Bass 15%+ <1%
$207,065 交易量
$207,065 交易量
2026-06-02
Bass 0–5%
$42,695 交易量
2%
Bass 5–10%
$50,867 交易量
94%
Bass 10–15%
$31,866 交易量
1%
Bass 15%+
$11,297 交易量
<1%
Pratt Wins
$36,150 交易量
<1%
Raman Wins
$22,186 交易量
<1%
Other
$12,004 交易量
<1%
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Karen Bass secured a first-round lead of roughly 5.3 percentage points in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, finishing at 34.3% against Nithya Raman’s 29.0% and Spencer Pratt’s 25.5%, which locked in the 5–10% margin outcome at 94.3% trader consensus. Ongoing ballot tabulation initially showed wider gaps before Raman overtook Pratt in later returns, yet Bass’s advantage over the runner-up held steady within the targeted band. In a nonpartisan top-two system, this spread reflects Bass’s incumbency edge and broad name recognition amid criticism of city governance, while Raman consolidated progressive support without closing the gap further. Late-breaking shifts in remaining mail or provisional ballots remain the primary variable that could still alter the final margin.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
交易量
$207,065結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Karen Bass secured a first-round lead of roughly 5.3 percentage points in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, finishing at 34.3% against Nithya Raman’s 29.0% and Spencer Pratt’s 25.5%, which locked in the 5–10% margin outcome at 94.3% trader consensus. Ongoing ballot tabulation initially showed wider gaps before Raman overtook Pratt in later returns, yet Bass’s advantage over the runner-up held steady within the targeted band. In a nonpartisan top-two system, this spread reflects Bass’s incumbency edge and broad name recognition amid criticism of city governance, while Raman consolidated progressive support without closing the gap further. Late-breaking shifts in remaining mail or provisional ballots remain the primary variable that could still alter the final margin.
The first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the City and County of Los Angeles.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$207,065結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 3:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Karen Bass secured a first-round lead of roughly 5.3 percentage points in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, finishing at 34.3% against Nithya Raman’s 29.0% and Spencer Pratt’s 25.5%, which locked in the 5–10% margin outcome at 94.3% trader consensus. Ongoing ballot tabulation initially showed wider gaps before Raman overtook Pratt in later returns, yet Bass’s advantage over the runner-up held steady within the targeted band. In a nonpartisan top-two system, this spread reflects Bass’s incumbency edge and broad name recognition amid criticism of city governance, while Raman consolidated progressive support without closing the gap further. Late-breaking shifts in remaining mail or provisional ballots remain the primary variable that could still alter the final margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions