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icon for 8月16日香港最低溫度？

8月16日香港最低溫度？

icon for 8月16日香港最低溫度？

8月16日香港最低溫度？

Ended: 8月 16

9月 18

9月 19

9月 20

Ended: 8月 16

9月 18

9月 19

9月 20

28°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$27,925 交易量

28°C 100.0%

23°C或以下 <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$27,925 交易量

23°C或以下

$1,017 交易量

否

24°C

$1,624 交易量

否

25°C

$3,127 交易量

否

26°C

$3,469 交易量

否

27°C

$3,416 交易量

否

28°C

$8,671 交易量

是

29°C

$3,266 交易量

否

30°C

$1,548 交易量

否

31°C

$642 交易量

否

32°C

$605 交易量

否

33°C或以上

$540 交易量

否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,925
結束日期
2026-08-16
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum of 28°C overnight into August 16 under mainly cloudy skies with scattered showers, aligning with seasonal monsoon flow that limited radiative cooling. This outcome reflects the typical August climatology of 26–28°C lows in the region, where high humidity and cloud cover prevent sharper drops. Trader consensus at near-100% for 28°C draws from real-time alignment between forecast guidance and post-event station data, with the wisdom of crowds reinforced by capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision or measurement discrepancy at the headquarters station, though such shifts remain rare given established verification protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$27,925
結束日期
2026-08-16
市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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Frequently Asked Questions

"8月16日香港最低溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "28°C" at 100%, followed by "23°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "8月16日香港最低溫度？" has generated $27.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "8月16日香港最低溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月16日香港最低溫度？" is "28°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "23°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月16日香港最低溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.