Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on an overnight low near 10°C for London on May 17, 2026, under a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow with variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling and vertical mixing in the boundary layer. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where typical minima range from 7–11°C amid similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects these model outputs and ongoing observations, though clearer skies or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 9°C. Updated hourly readings through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日倫敦的最低溫度?
10°C 99.8%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C或以上
<1%
10°C 99.8%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2°C或以下
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converge on an overnight low near 10°C for London on May 17, 2026, under a mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow with variable cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling and vertical mixing in the boundary layer. This positioning aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where typical minima range from 7–11°C amid similar synoptic patterns. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for exactly 10°C reflects these model outputs and ongoing observations, though clearer skies or lighter winds could allow modest additional cooling toward 9°C. Updated hourly readings through the evening will provide the final resolution data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions