Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月21日的最低溫度?
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 交易量
$5,365 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 交易量
$5,365 交易量
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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