Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日馬德裏最低氣溫？
8月25日馬德裏最低氣溫？
25°C or higher 84%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
47%
16°C
28%
17°C
32%
18°C
28%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
5%
23°C
50%
24°C
50%
25°C or higher
84%
25°C or higher 84%
23°C 50%
24°C 50%
15°C or below 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
15°C or below
$0 交易量
47%
16°C
$0 交易量
28%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
28%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$4 交易量
26%
22°C
$4 交易量
5%
23°C
$5 交易量
50%
24°C
$5 交易量
50%
25°C or higher
$5 交易量
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$23結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$23結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast guidance for Madrid indicates minimum temperatures on August 25 will likely fall in the 16–18°C range, driven by moderate southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and surface radiative cooling under partly clear skies. Numerical models show modest spread in the exact low, with GFS and ECMWF runs sensitive to boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that limit or enhance nocturnal temperature drops. Historical climatology places the typical August 25 minimum near 18–19°C, so the near-even market odds between 25°C-or-higher and 15°C-or-below reflect uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur relative to recent warmer nights. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions