Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 74–75°F overnight into August 11, 2026, consistent with ensemble model guidance showing weak nocturnal cooling under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for New York City, where average lows hover around 70°F but rise during periods of southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event data, leaving virtually no room for revision. Unlikely challenges include station-specific microclimate discrepancies or post-processing adjustments, though such shifts rarely exceed 1–2°F given standardized measurement protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月11日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月11日紐約市的最低溫度？
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$24,526 交易量
$24,526 交易量
2026-08-11
65°F或以下
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73華氏度
否
74-75°F
是
76-77華氏度
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
65°F或以下 <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$24,526 交易量
$24,526 交易量
2026-08-11
65°F或以下
$1,425 交易量
否
66-67°F
$1,418 交易量
否
68-69°F
$451 交易量
否
70-71°F
$1,437 交易量
否
72-73華氏度
$3,340 交易量
否
74-75°F
$4,906 交易量
是
76-77華氏度
$3,531 交易量
否
78-79°F
$3,370 交易量
否
80-81°F
$1,269 交易量
否
82-83°F
$2,079 交易量
否
84°F或更高
$1,300 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 74–75°F overnight into August 11, 2026, consistent with ensemble model guidance showing weak nocturnal cooling under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for New York City, where average lows hover around 70°F but rise during periods of southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event data, leaving virtually no room for revision. Unlikely challenges include station-specific microclimate discrepancies or post-processing adjustments, though such shifts rarely exceed 1–2°F given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$24,526結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 74–75°F overnight into August 11, 2026, consistent with ensemble model guidance showing weak nocturnal cooling under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for New York City, where average lows hover around 70°F but rise during periods of southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event data, leaving virtually no room for revision. Unlikely challenges include station-specific microclimate discrepancies or post-processing adjustments, though such shifts rarely exceed 1–2°F given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,526結束日期
2026-08-11市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia and Central Park, recorded a minimum temperature of 74–75°F overnight into August 11, 2026, consistent with ensemble model guidance showing weak nocturnal cooling under a warm, humid air mass with dew points near 70°F. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology for New York City, where average lows hover around 70°F but rise during periods of southerly flow and limited radiational cooling. The 100% market-implied probability reflects verified post-event data, leaving virtually no room for revision. Unlikely challenges include station-specific microclimate discrepancies or post-processing adjustments, though such shifts rarely exceed 1–2°F given standardized measurement protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions