Ensemble forecasts from leading European and global models currently favor minimum temperatures in Paris on May 20 clustered between 10°C and 13°C, reflecting typical springtime variability under a mild westerly flow pattern. This aligns with the May climatological average low of roughly 9–10°C while incorporating recent observational trends showing slightly above-normal overnight readings across northern France. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any passing frontal systems and the strength of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, which can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C. With only three days until resolution, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that will determine whether the low settles near 11°C or edges toward 14°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月20日巴黎最低溫度？
5月20日巴黎最低溫度？
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
14°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
19%
11°C
11%
12°C
23%
13°C
21%
14°C
16%
15°C
5%
16°C或以上
2%
12°C 23%
13°C 21%
11°C 20%
14°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-05-20
6°C或以下
$136 交易量
1%
7°C
$165 交易量
1%
8°C
$24 交易量
5%
9°C
$30 交易量
6%
10°C
$24 交易量
19%
11°C
$30 交易量
11%
12°C
$25 交易量
23%
13°C
$14 交易量
21%
14°C
$14 交易量
16%
15°C
$24 交易量
5%
16°C或以上
$176 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading European and global models currently favor minimum temperatures in Paris on May 20 clustered between 10°C and 13°C, reflecting typical springtime variability under a mild westerly flow pattern. This aligns with the May climatological average low of roughly 9–10°C while incorporating recent observational trends showing slightly above-normal overnight readings across northern France. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any passing frontal systems and the strength of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, which can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C. With only three days until resolution, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that will determine whether the low settles near 11°C or edges toward 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$662結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading European and global models currently favor minimum temperatures in Paris on May 20 clustered between 10°C and 13°C, reflecting typical springtime variability under a mild westerly flow pattern. This aligns with the May climatological average low of roughly 9–10°C while incorporating recent observational trends showing slightly above-normal overnight readings across northern France. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any passing frontal systems and the strength of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, which can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C. With only three days until resolution, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that will determine whether the low settles near 11°C or edges toward 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$662結束日期
2026-05-20市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from leading European and global models currently favor minimum temperatures in Paris on May 20 clustered between 10°C and 13°C, reflecting typical springtime variability under a mild westerly flow pattern. This aligns with the May climatological average low of roughly 9–10°C while incorporating recent observational trends showing slightly above-normal overnight readings across northern France. Key differentiating factors include the timing of any passing frontal systems and the strength of radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, which can shift the daily minimum by 2–3°C. With only three days until resolution, traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and Météo-France runs for refinements in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed that will determine whether the low settles near 11°C or edges toward 14°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions