**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
9月9日首爾（仁川）最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,165 交易量
$26,165 交易量
2026-09-09
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$26,165 交易量
$26,165 交易量
2026-09-09
13°C或以下
$563 交易量
否
14°C
$1,672 交易量
否
15°C
$2,104 交易量
否
16°C
$316 交易量
否
17°C
$892 交易量
否
18°C
$3,403 交易量
否
19°C
$5,965 交易量
是
20°C
$8,851 交易量
否
21°C
$1,715 交易量
否
22°C
$160 交易量
否
23°C或以上
$523 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$26,165結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,165結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 19°C minimum temperature in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 9, 2026, reflecting strong convergence among official forecasts and observational data.** Recent KMA analyses and international model runs show an overnight low near 19°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, with daytime highs reaching 26–27°C before cooling resumes after sunset. This aligns with the arrival of slightly cooler air from the north, producing minimums consistent with recent daily reports of 18–20°C in the region. Trader consensus incorporates the high reliability of these short-range forecasts near resolution, though modest uncertainty remains from potential variations in local wind or cloud cover that could shift the exact low by 1°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions